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Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

Don’t be an idiot: NFL picks against the spread, Week 9

Here’s my overall strategy when it comes to betting: Imagine the person that you would hate to watch football with the most out of anyone in the world. Imagine how they would bet these games. And do the opposite.

We're halfway through the season and I'm just about where I figured I'd be: Barely South of .500 but feeling more and more comfortable with what an idiot I am. I've been remarkably consistent, going nearly 8-8 every single week. Technically I'm losing money which isn't the point of gambling, but I look at the loss as just a small price to pay for making every game interesting, otherwise why would any right-minded individual watch the Titans play every week?

Last week: 7-8

On the season: 58-62

(Home team is in CAPS)

CAROLINA +3 over New Orleans

Philadelphia -2.5 over HOUSTON

Houston is my least favorite city in the world. Granted, I haven’t been to most cities, but I’m fairly confidant that even the seedier parts of Danville aren’t as lame as East East Houston. I say this as someone who lives in Austin and makes the trip over to the Houston-area at least 5 times every year. By “The Houston Area” of course I mean anywhere within 45 miles as the crow flies from the city center. If you love strip malls and really clean, well constructed Jack-In-The-Boxes, well my friend, Houston is the place for you.

Arizona +4 over DALLAS

Jerry Jones is the biggest idiot in the NFL. The man knows how to make money out of money, but that's about it as far as his life-skills go. He really opened himself up to all kinds of legal liability when he inserted himself as the team physician and medical spokesperson this past week. There is no other team that would send the guy who writes the checks out in front of the media to discuss back problems. If anything goes wrong Romo probably has a great case against the Cowboys. There's no one else to take the fall for it besides his idiot owner.

Tampa Bay +6 over CLEVELAND

At the very least, Tampa’s players will have the immune system necessary to spend five hours in the Cleveland locker room.

SAN FRANCISCO -7.5 over St. Louis

MINNESOTA +1 over Washington

One of the things I miss the most about living in the D.C. area is getting to listen to talk radio. They are probably the most fickle fanbase in the country, but I'll be damned if they're not creative with their insane trade ideas. Colt McCoy is probably the best third string QB in the league, but it's foolish to think he is going to supplant RG3, even for one game.

NEW ENGLAND +4 over Denver

Jacksonville +13.5 over CINCINNATI

Idiots think that the Jaguars are moving to London within two years, completely ignoring the fact of how hard it is for anyone from Northern Florida to get a visa in the first place. The "Jags are moving" talk comes from two places. 1. Their owner is foreign, and England is a foreign. Think about it.

2. They don't sell out games. Well, it might help selling out a couple of games when you're not starting Chad Henne at quarterback for two seasons in a row. Just a thought.

Thirteen and a half points is a ridiculous spread for a Bengals team that has been struggling to score any points for the past month. BORTLES GON' GET HIS 14, and I find it hard to believe that Cincinnati is going to put up more than 24 points.

San Diego +1.5 over MIAMI

New York Jets +7.5 over KANSAS CITY

SEATTLE +15.5 over Oakland

This is a huge spread for any team not named the 2007 New England Patriots. The Seahawks have dealt with a lot of crap in the last couple of weeks but nothing gets you back on track like a home game against the Raiders.

Baltimore -1.5 over PITTSBURGH

It's tough to get a read on the Steelers. They have the biggest potential swing in terms of how good or bad they can play on any given Sunday. I've never really been a fan of these so-called grudge-matches. It seems like every year we get two primetime Pitt/Bal games that always end up being decided by 10+ points with a total score of under 35.

I’ve got a friend who unironically listens to Limp Bizkit Pandora. He is a Steelers fan.

Indianapolis -3 over NEW YORK GIANTS

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