Skip to main content
Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

Super Bowl LI odds: Patriots open as 3-point favorites over Falcons

The teams with the two best point differentials in the NFL will meet in Houston on Feb. 5.

The New England Patriots are the early 3-point betting favorites over the Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl 51, per Jeff Sherman of Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

Super Bowl 51 is a matchup of two of the top three scoring offenses in the league, with Atlanta atop the NFL at 33.8 points per game, seventh-best in NFL history, and New England third at 27.6 per game. The Patriots are tops in scoring defense, allowing just 15.6 points per game, while the Falcons allowed 25.4 points per contest, No. 27 in the league.

The over/under for Super Bowl LI started at 57.5 points, per Sherman. However, it has since climbed to record numbers:

These were the top two teams in point differential during the regular season, with New England outscoring opponents by 11.9 points per game, and Atlanta at 8.4.

Super Bowl 51 will be played on Sunday, Feb. 5, at NRG Stadium in Houston, with a 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff.

This is the second Super Bowl appearance for the Falcons, who lost to the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XXXIII after the 1998 season. For the Patriots, this is their ninth Super Bowl and second in three years.

The Falcons took care of the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game, winning the final game ever at the Georgia Dome, 44-21. The Patriots beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 36-17 in the AFC Championship Game.

The Patriots are 15-3 against the spread this season, while the Falcons are 12-6, per Odds Shark.


See More:

More in NFL

NFL
WNFC championship game airing Sunday, June 21st from Ford Center in FriscoWNFC championship game airing Sunday, June 21st from Ford Center in Frisco
NFL

The Women’s National Football Conference Championship will air on ESPN2 this weekend.

By RJ Ochoa
From SBNationExternal Link
Which fictional quarterback would you have lead your team?Which fictional quarterback would you have lead your team?
From SBNationExternal Link
By James Dator
NFL
Best bets for 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the YearBest bets for 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
NFL

There are some good longer-shot options on offensive side of ball for the NFL’s Rookie of the Year.

By Bill Williamson
NFL
Brendan Sorsby is a rare chance to get a top QB cheap, and these teams should go inBrendan Sorsby is a rare chance to get a top QB cheap, and these teams should go in
NFL

This is a no-brainer for some NFL teams.

By James Dator
NFL
Fernando Mendoza has great respect for the Raiders that came before himFernando Mendoza has great respect for the Raiders that came before him
NFL

Fernando Mendoza has great respect for the Raiders that came before him

By RJ Ochoa
NFL
Brendan Sorsby intends to enter NFL Supplemental Draft, per reportsBrendan Sorsby intends to enter NFL Supplemental Draft, per reports
NFL

Texas Tech quarterback Brendan Sorsby is entering the NFL Supplemental Draft, per reports

By Mark Schofield