Regression To The Mean Strikes VA Tech

Statistics never lies, even when they’re unfolding live before your eyes. The Hokies hadn’t done anything of note offensively all night when Tyrod Taylor caught a rare break against an Alabama blitz and hit a wide open man streaking down field. The curve shoots up, soaring above the mean, and VT’s in scoring position suddenly.

Then, on the next play, Tyrod Taylor throws an option pitch behind him for a huge loss. The curve shoots below the mean, and we’re back at even steven. Regression to the mean, a conceptual illustration brought to you by the very average Virginia Tech offense.