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Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

Kentucky Derby odds 2015: American Pharoah is favored, but not by much

One way or another, Bob Baffert has great odds to win his fourth Kentucky Derby.

Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

American Pharoah was quite unlucky in Wednesday’s post position draw, but he remains the favorite to win the 141st Kentucky Derby on Saturday.

According to OddsShark.com, the Arkansas Derby winner is favored to win at 11/4 odds, despite starting out of the No. 18 gate. Only three horses since 1930 have won the Run for the Roses starting at, or outside the No. 18 gate: Gato Del Sol (1982), Big Brown (2008) and I'll Have Another (2012).

Trainer Bob Baffert, who could win his fourth Kentucky Derby, has the top two choices: American Pharoah and second choice Dortmund, currently just off the pace at 13/4 odds. Dortmund will start out of the No. 8 gate.

The odds then dip significantly, with third choice Carpe Diem coming in at 9/1. Materiality and MubTaaqhij both follow at 14/1.

The latest odds are below, according to OddsShark.com. The Kentucky Derby posts at 6:25 p.m. ET on Saturday.

Post position

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Odds

1

Ocho Ocho Ocho

Elvis Trujillo

Jim Cassidy

50/1

2

Carpe Diem

John Velazquez

Todd Pletcher

9/1

3

Materiality

Javier Castellano

Todd Pletcher

14/1

4

Tencendur

Manny Franco

George Weaver

50/1

5

Danzig Moon

Julien Leparoux

Mark Casse

50/1

6

MubTaaqhij

Christophe Soumillion

Mike de Kock

14/1

7

El Kabeir

Calvin Borel

John Terranova II

33/1

8

Dortmund

Martin Garcia

Bob Baffert

13/4

9

Bolo

Rafael Bejarano

Carla Gaines

33/1

10

Firing Line

Gary Stevens

Simon Callaghan

16/1

11

Stanford

Florent Geroux

Todd Pletcher

40/1

12

International Star

Miguel Mena

Mike Maker

20/1

13

Itsaknockout

Luis Saez

Todd Pletcher

33/1

14

Keen Ice

Kent Desormeaux

Dale Romans

50/1

15

Frosted

Joel Rosario

Kiaran McLaughlin

16/1

16

War Story

Joe Talamo

Tom Amoss

50/1

17

Mr. Z

Ramon Vazquez

D. Wayne Lukas

40/1

18

American Pharoah

Victor Espinoza

Bob Baffert

11/4

19

Upstart

Jose Ortiz

Rick Violette Jr.

22/1

20

Far Right

Mike Smith

Ron Moquett

33/1

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