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College Football Playoff mock committee shows tough choices ahead

Florida, Oklahoma, Texas and USC would have been selected in 2008, according to the exercise. It might show us a little about how the actual committee will work, once it begins revealing its rankings later this month.

A group of media members posed as playoff selection committee judges, taking on the complicated 2008 college football season to try and figure out how the new system might react to difficult end-of-season scenarios.

That 2008 year, you may recall, included a three-way tie for the Big 12 title between Texas, Oklahoma and Texas Tech, as well as a pair of undefeated non-BCS schools in Boise State and TCU. The 11-1 Longhorns and 12-1 Sooners made the cut for the media playoff, along with 12-1 Florida and 11-1 USC. The BCS standings had the same top three (albeit in a different order), with 12-1 Alabama at No. 4 instead of the Trojans.

The biggest controversy appears to be in the 4-to-6 range. Alabama fell all the way behind USC and 11-1 Penn State in the exercise, leaving the Tide out of the playoff picture and causing the SEC communication director to question its real-world application.

The Tide's only loss came to eventual national champion Florida in the SEC championship game, while the losses that befell USC (at Oregon State) and Penn State (at Iowa) came against seemingly easier conference foes. But Sports-Reference lists USC's strength of schedule as the hardest of the trio, with the Tide's ranking second, ahead of the Nittany Lions. Football Outsiders' F/+ rated USC as the second-best team in the nation at the season's conclusion, with Penn State fifth and Alabama eighth.

Here are the full 2008 top 25s:

Mock committee Pre-bowls BCS
1 Florida Oklahoma
2 Oklahoma Florida
3 Texas Texas
4 USC Alabama
5 Penn State USC
6 Alabama Utah
7 Utah Texas Tech
8 Texas Tech Penn State
9 Ohio State Boise State
10 TCU Ohio State
11 Boise State TCU
12 Cincinnati Cincinnati
13 Virginia Tech Oklahoma State
14 Oklahoma State Georgia Tech
15 Georgia Tech Georgia
16 Georgia BYU
17 Oregon Oregon
18 Oregon State Michigan State
19 Missouri Virginia Tech
20 Cal Pittsburgh
21 Michigan State Missouri
22 Mississippi Ball State
23 Boston College Northwestern
24 North Carolina Boston College
25 Pittsburgh Mississippi

The mock committee was lower on non-BCS schools like Boise State and Utah, placing the Utes one spot lower than their BCS ranking and the Broncos two places lower, but it bumped the one-loss TCU Horned Frogs one place up.

The biggest boosts were for Virginia Tech (No. 13 in mock, No. 19 in BCS) and Cal (No. 20 in mock, unranked in BCS). BYU (unranked in mock, No. 16 in BCS) and Pittsburgh (No. 25 in mock, No. 20 in BCS) saw the biggest falls.

Here’s the full list of participants. Expect them to reveal their ranking rationales soon.

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