Michigan State beat Michigan on a crazy muffed punt return for a touchdown at the last second. Even though Michigan State defensive lineman Shilique Calhoun said everyone on MSU’s sideline thought the Spartans would block the punt, the stats didn’t agree, according to a writer with ESPN’s analytics department.
Michigan State had a 0.2 percent chance of beating Michigan with 10 seconds left. The Spartans won.
The Spartans really should not have won that game. But they did!


You probably don't need a win probability calculator to tell you that Michigan State had a 0.2% chance to win before the punt #Unbelievable
— Sharon Katz (@skatz23) October 17, 2015 The win probability chart looks as crazy as you would expect.
— Matt Hinton (@MattRHinton) October 18, 2015 * * *
SB Nation presents: Michigan State miracle highlights Week 7
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