2015 Sun Bowl advanced stats tale of the tape: Washington State vs. Miami
Justin K. Aller/Getty Images
December 26 ( 2:00 PM ET, CBS ), Sun Bowl, El Paso
Spread: Washington State -2.5
S&P+ Projection: Miami 32.6, Washington State 28.8
Team Sites: State Of The U, CougCenter
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
The Basics
| Category | Miami | Washington State | ||
| S&P+ (Rk) | 50 | 67 | ||
| Category | Miami offense | Washington State defense | Washington State offense | Miami defense |
| Yards per play (Rk) | 5.44 (58) | 5.33 (67) | 5.72 (42) | 5.76 (98) |
| Yards per game (Rk) | 388.0 (70) | 401.3 (72) | 471.0 (24) | 421.7 (93) |
| Points per possession (Rk) | 2.31 (62) | 2.40 (92) | 2.59 (36) | 2.31 (85) |
| Category | Miami offense | Washington State defense | Washington State offense | Miami defense |
| S&P+ (Rk) | 33.2 (39) | 30.1 (81) | 32.5 (45) | 26.9 (57) |
| Rushing S&P+ (Rk) | 83.5 (116) | 93.5 (89) | 105.3 (57) | 83.8 (118) |
| Passing S&P+ (Rk) | 126.1 (12) | 109.0 (37) | 97.5 (77) | 108.8 (38) |
| Standard Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 107.5 (44) | 104.0 (47) | 101.9 (61) | 91.7 (97) |
| Passing Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 107.2 (46) | 94.8 (85) | 106.3 (50) | 114.1 (26) |
| Q1 S&P+ (Rk) | 108.2 (50) | 100.5 (59) | 105.2 (59) | 94.3 (85) |
| Q2 S&P+ (Rk) | 111.3 (39) | 104.3 (65) | 110.5 (43) | 106.6 (58) |
| Q3 S&P+ (Rk) | 102.4 (71) | 101.5 (68) | 92.7 (98) | 112.0 (38) |
| Q4 S&P+ (Rk) | 103.3 (67) | 101.2 (67) | 111.3 (33) | 88.1 (110) |
Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)
* or smallest disadvantages
Miami
- Passing Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 27 defense vs. No. 90 offense)
- Passing Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 37 offense vs. No. 92 defense)
- Third Down S&P+ (No. 21 defense vs. No. 71 offense)
- Passing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 6 offense vs. No. 55 defense)
- Standard Downs Sack Rate (No. 14 offense vs. No. 62 defense)
Washington State
- Rushing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 24 offense vs. No. 119 defense)
- Short-Yardage Rushing (No. 23 defense vs. No. 114 offense)
- Run Stuffs (No. 45 offense vs. No. 128 defense)
- Standard Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 32 offense vs. No. 113 defense)
- Run Stuffs (No. 27 defense vs. No. 100 offense)
Five Factors
| Category | Miami offense | Washington State defense | Washington State offense | Miami defense |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | 1.36 (23) | 1.21 (44) | 1.15 (117) | 1.13 (12) |
| EFFICIENCY | 41.2% (74) | 44.4% (95) | 49.4% (9) | 47.2% (117) |
| FIELD POSITION | 30.8 (45) | 30.7 (87) | 30.5 (54) | 28.3 (41) |
| FINISHING DRIVES | 4.7 (76) | 4.6 (64) | 4.4 (89) | 4.9 (88) |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED: Miami 3.65 (34) Washington State -8.28 (118) | ACTUAL Miami 13 (7) Washington State -3 (87) | ||
Offensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Miami offense | Washington State offense |
| Adj. Pace | -4.7 (108) | 2.5 (35) |
| Plays per game | 71.3 (86) | 82.3 (14) |
| Possessions per game | 12.5 (96) | 12.5 (96) |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 54.9% (94) | 29.5% (128) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 29.0% (88) | 9.9% (128) |
| % of solo tackles | 75.4% (61) | 83.5% (10) |
Defensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Miami defense | Washington State defense |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 58.8% (74) | 58.8% (75) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 26.1% (122) | 34.0% (64) |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 14.7% (91) | 17.7% (35) |
| Front 7 Havoc Rate | 8.5% (92) | 12.2% (17) |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.3% (66) | 5.5% (91) |
| PD to INC | 36.6% (30) | 31.7% (73) |
When Miami has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Miami Offense | Washington State Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 107.5 | 44 | 104.0 | 47 | |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 45.1 | 90 | 48.0 | 81 | |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.23 | 14 | 1.02 | 56 | Miami |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.51 | 114 | 2.84 | 60 | Washington State big |
| SD Sack Rate | 1.9% | 14 | 5.1% | 62 | Miami |
Passing Downs
| Miami Offense | Washington State Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 107.2 | 46 | 94.8 | 85 | Miami |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 32.4 | 46 | 36.8 | 119 | Miami big |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.74 | 71 | 1.66 | 21 | Washington State big |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.53 | 113 | 3.67 | 110 | |
| PD Sack Rate | 4.8% | 24 | 7.9% | 52 | Miami |
When Washington State has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Washington State Offense | Miami Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 101.9 | 61 | 91.7 | 97 | Washington State |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 54.0 | 9 | 54.3 | 121 | Washington State big |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.01 | 107 | 1.08 | 33 | Miami big |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.12 | 27 | 3.51 | 127 | Washington State big |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.3% | 74 | 5% | 66 | |
Passing Downs
| Washington State Offense | Miami Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 106.3 | 50 | 114.1 | 26 | Miami |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 37.7 | 16 | 28.8 | 50 | Washington State |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.65 | 91 | 1.58 | 37 | Miami big |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.60 | 30 | 3.15 | 56 | Washington State |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.3% | 30 | 6.6% | 81 | Washington State big |
Individual Passing Stats
| Team | Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate | Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Miami | Brad Kaaya | 6'4, 210 | SO | 221 | 358 | 3019 | 15 | 4 | 61.7% | 12 | 3.2% | 7.9 |
| Miami | Malik Rosier | 6'1, 212 | FR | 29 | 57 | 338 | 2 | 3 | 50.9% | 3 | 5.0% | 5.2 |
| Washington State | Luke Falk | 6'4, 205 | SO | 418 | 591 | 4266 | 36 | 8 | 70.7% | 35 | 5.6% | 6.4 |
| Washington State | Peyton Bender | 6'0, 187 | FR | 53 | 91 | 498 | 3 | 4 | 58.2% | 3 | 3.2% | 5.1 |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry | Hlt Yds/ Opp. | Opp. Rate |
| Miami | Joseph Yearby | RB | 5'9, 202 | SO | 191 | 939 | 6 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 39.3% |
| Miami | Mark Walton | RB | 5'10, 195 | FR | 121 | 438 | 8 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 28.1% |
| Miami | Trayone Gray | RB | 6'2, 216 | SO | 24 | 145 | 2 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 45.8% |
| Miami | Brad Kaaya | QB | 6'4, 210 | SO | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 7.1% |
| Washington State | Gerard Wicks | RB | 6'0, 224 | SO | 102 | 599 | 3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 42.2% |
| Washington State | Jamal Morrow | RB | 5'9, 190 | SO | 43 | 276 | 0 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 55.8% |
| Washington State | Luke Falk | QB | 6'4, 205 | SO | 43 | 144 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 34.9% |
| Washington State | Keith Harrington | RB | 5'8, 180 | FR | 34 | 226 | 2 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 50.0% |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Individual Receiving Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch | Yds/ Target | Catch Rate |
| Miami | Rashawn Scott | WR | 6'2, 203 | SR | 74 | 47 | 620 | 5 | 13.2 | 8.4 | 63.5% |
| Miami | Stacy Coley | WR | 6'1, 187 | JR | 62 | 44 | 645 | 3 | 14.7 | 10.4 | 71.0% |
| Miami | Herb Waters | WR | 6'2, 198 | SR | 62 | 38 | 607 | 1 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 61.3% |
| Miami | David Njoku | TE | 6'4, 244 | FR | 34 | 20 | 361 | 1 | 18.1 | 10.6 | 58.8% |
| Miami | Joseph Yearby | RB | 5'9, 202 | SO | 32 | 23 | 273 | 2 | 11.9 | 8.5 | 71.9% |
| Miami | Christopher Herndon IV | TE | 6'4, 259 | SO | 29 | 17 | 219 | 1 | 12.9 | 7.6 | 58.6% |
| Miami | Mark Walton | RB | 5'10, 195 | FR | 25 | 19 | 236 | 1 | 12.4 | 9.4 | 76.0% |
| Washington State | Gabe Marks | WR | 6'0, 190 | JR | 141 | 99 | 1125 | 14 | 11.4 | 8.0 | 70.2% |
| Washington State | Dom Williams | WR | 6'2, 200 | SR | 121 | 73 | 997 | 11 | 13.7 | 8.2 | 60.3% |
| Washington State | River Cracraft | WR | 6'0, 200 | JR | 72 | 48 | 546 | 4 | 11.4 | 7.6 | 66.7% |
| Washington State | Gerard Wicks | RB | 6'0, 224 | SO | 52 | 37 | 149 | 0 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 71.2% |
| Washington State | Robert Lewis | WR | 5'9, 170 | SO | 51 | 41 | 481 | 1 | 11.7 | 9.4 | 80.4% |
| Washington State | Keith Harrington | RB | 5'8, 180 | FR | 50 | 43 | 312 | 3 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 86.0% |
| Washington State | Kyrin Priester | WR | 6'1, 190 | SO | 38 | 31 | 229 | 1 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 81.6% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Team | Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Miami | Jermaine Grace | LB | 6'1, 221 | JR | 59.0 | 9.2% | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Miami | Al-Quadin Muhammad | DL | 6'3, 256 | SO | 41.5 | 6.5% | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Miami | Deon Bush | DB | 6'1, 205 | SR | 39.0 | 6.1% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Rayshawn Jenkins | DB | 6'1, 208 | JR | 38.5 | 6.0% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Juwon Young | LB | 6'2, 245 | SO | 38.0 | 5.9% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Miami | Trent Harris | DL | 6'2, 251 | SO | 37.5 | 5.9% | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Jamal Carter | DB | 6'1, 209 | JR | 35.5 | 5.5% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Miami | Ufomba Kamalu | DL | 6'6, 297 | SR | 34.0 | 5.3% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Miami | Corn Elder | DB | 5'10, 183 | JR | 33.5 | 5.2% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Raphael Kirby | LB | 6'1, 238 | SR | 30.5 | 4.8% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Artie Burns | DB | 6'0, 197 | JR | 28.5 | 4.5% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Dallas Crawford | DB | 5'10, 200 | SR | 26.0 | 4.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami | Tracy Howard | DB | 5'11, 192 | SR | 25.0 | 3.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Peyton Pelluer | LB | 6'0, 227 | SO | 77.5 | 11.2% | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington State | Jeremiah Allison | LB | 6'2, 228 | SR | 75.5 | 10.9% | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Shalom Luani | S | 6'0, 201 | JR | 75.5 | 10.9% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington State | Parker Henry | LB | 5'11, 207 | JR | 52.5 | 7.6% | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Taylor Taliulu | S | 6'0, 205 | SR | 40.0 | 5.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Marcellus Pippins | CB | 5'10, 170 | SO | 35.5 | 5.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Washington State | Darrien Molton | CB | 5'10, 170 | FR | 32.0 | 4.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington State | Ivan McLennan | LB | 6'4, 233 | SR | 30.5 | 4.4% | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Isaac Dotson | S | 6'1, 215 | SO | 30.0 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Darryl Paulo | DL | 6'2, 255 | SR | 29.0 | 4.2% | 12.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington State | Destiny Vaeao | DL | 6'4, 298 | SR | 27.5 | 4.0% | 11.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington State | Kache Palacio | LB | 6'2, 231 | SR | 27.5 | 4.0% | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington State | Charleston White | CB | 6'0, 185 | SO | 25.0 | 3.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | ||||||||||||
Individual Special Teams Stats
| Team | Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Miami | Justin Vogel | 6'4, 208 | JR | 60 | 43.1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 61.7% |
| Washington State | Zach Charme | 6'1, 192 | FR | 41 | 40.0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 43.9% |
| Team | Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches | Onside Att | Onside Success |
| Miami | Jon Semerene | 6'0, 205 | SO | 61 | 61.0 | 24 | 39.3% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami | Michael Badgley | 5'10, 180 | SO | 8 | 62.8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Erik Powell | 6'1, 193 | SO | 72 | 56.2 | 19 | 26.4% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington State | Quentin Breshears | 6'0, 184 | SR | 3 | 55.7 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Miami | Michael Badgley | 5'10, 180 | SO | 38-38 | 25-30 | 83.3% |
| Washington State | Erik Powell | 6'1, 193 | SO | 47-47 | 18-24 | 75.0% |
| Team | Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Miami | Mark Walton | 5'10, 195 | FR | 15 | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) |
| Miami | Corn Elder | 5'10, 183 | JR | 5 | 33.8 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Washington State | Tavares Martin Jr. | 6'1, 165 | FR | 25 | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Washington State | Kyrin Priester | 6'1, 190 | SO | 6 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Team | Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Miami | Corn Elder | 5'10, 183 | JR | 11 | 13.8 | 1 | 7 | 1 (0) |
| Miami | Braxton Berrios | 5'9, 180 | SO | 8 | 2.8 | 0 | 3 | 0 (0) |
| Washington State | Gabe Marks | 6'0, 190 | JR | 11 | 9.6 | 0 | 7 | 0 (0) |
| Washington State | Kyrin Priester | 6'1, 190 | SO | 4 | 5.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 (1) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics
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