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Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

Fantasy football impact: Is the Carolina receiver situation really THAT awful?

There’s been a lot of talk that the Panthers’ wide receivers are going to crater their quarterback’s value, but is that true? We break down the fantasy implications.

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

My second car was a 1994 Toyota Camry. It was far from special, with a sad stereo, an engine that needed significant encouragement to do its job and a clock that for whatever reason reset to 1:00 every time you started the car.

I loved that car.

The reason I loved the car was my first car -- a 1987 Oldsmobile Cutlass Ciera. It had a worse stereo, no clock at all and it shook when you drove it over 45 mph. Compared to that, the Camry was a dream, even if it didn’t really have much going for it beyond that.

For that reason, I predict that by year's end, Carolina Panthers fans are going to love Kelvin Benjamin and Jerricho Cotchery.

To be clear, I don’t consider Benjamin and Cotchery (and Jason Avant, Tiquan Underwood, et al.) to be an elite receiver corps. It could definitely stand to improve significantly -- and likely would have if not for the Panthers’ disastrous cap situation.

But it's been the cool thing in NFL circles lately to talk about how Panthers quarterback Cam Newton will see his production drop this season, and a big part of that argument is that he just doesn't have anyone to throw to. That's all well and good -- he doesn't, really -- but Newton was the No. 3 quarterback in fantasy in 2013 with a primary wide receiver team of Steve Smith, Brandon LaFell and Ted Ginn.

This is similar to the car analogy, but if, say, the Green Bay Packers were to have that wide receiver team this year, it would be seen as a disaster. Instead, because the new group this season is seen as iffy at best, people are looking back at last year's group wistfully.

Benjamin and company aren't the best receiving corps in the league. Depending on how you feel about a few other groups (Jacksonville maybe, plus St. Louis, Oakland, Kansas City and Cleveland if Josh Gordon stays suspended), the Panthers' receivers might in fact be the worst. But claiming that the Carolina receiving situation is the reason Cam Newton will fall off the map in 2014 doesn't make sense, at least to me.

That said, let’s look at the positions:

Quarterback

Newton finished third among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring in 2013. That was with Aaron Rodgers out for a good chunk of the year, so that's an easy player to bump ahead of him.

But in three NFL seasons, Newton has yet to finish outside the top four quarterbacks in fantasy scoring. And he’s done that while never having a receiving corps or a running back group anyone would describe as special.

I outlined above why Newton’s wide receivers don’t particularly scare me for the season to come. The losses on the Carolina offensive line, on the other hand, could be the hangup. The team lost multiple starters and multiple backups from last season, and didn’t really replace them. Carolina’s cap situation is a big part of the reason for that.

Newton has of course always been fleet of foot -- he’s averaging almost 680 rushing yards a season -- but it’s always better to be able to run than to have to run. Still, Newton has been able to be a top-flight quarterback without significant help; I see no reason to believe that stops in 2014.

I rank Newton as my No. 4 quarterback. That said, once you get past the top three quarterbacks -- Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers, in some order -- it gets much more difficult to justify clearly taking one quarterback over another. Theoretically, Newton could come in anywhere from fourth to 12th or so. As much as I trust Newton for 2014 -- and I do -- it makes some sense, once the top three are gone, to just hold off and take whatever quarterback is left when the smoke clears.

Running Backs

The five running backs who went directly before DeAngelo Williams in average draft position a season ago: BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Rashard Mendenhall, Shane Vereen, Daryl Richardson and Ahmad Bradshaw.

That isn’t totally illuminating, as things change all the time, but Williams gets less credit than he’s earned over his career. With the exception of 2010 when injuries limited him to six games, Williams has always put up enough numbers to be relevant as a low-end fantasy player, even if, outside of 2008, he’s never risen much above that either.

Meanwhile, Williams' running mate, Jonathan Stewart, has a recent injury history that looks like a particularly rough episode of House. He's only 27, but already missed the team's preseason opener with a hamstring injury.

Behind those two, the team has second-year running back Kenjon Barner and fullback Mike Tolbert to carry the ball. Barner only had eight touches in his rookie season for 14 total yards, so he wasn't really a part of the 2013 offense, but he's a speedster. Williams is 31 with a lot of miles on him, and Stewart is no sort of guarantee to be on the field.

Tolbert, meanwhile, won’t be getting yards. He’s the goal-line back, and has been stealing touchdowns from the other running backs the last couple of seasons. He’s not on the field enough to be truly helpful in fantasy, especially with no real way to predict when he’ll get those scoring chances.

Really, the problem for any Carolina ball carrier is Newton. The quarterback runs the ball so much and so well on his own that it chops into the running backs’ opportunities. I rank Williams as my No. 33 running back, well out of starting range. The other guys on the roster I can’t even justify ranking at all.

Wide Receivers

Here it is. The most notorious of all position groupings in the NFL for 2014.

I don't love Kelvin Benjamin as an NFL prospect. He was the Panthers' first-round pick in the draft, the fifth wide receiver off the board after Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandin Cooks. The thing is, though, that as a fantasy prospect, Benjamin might be the best of the rookie crop, entirely because of that aforementioned reason of "who the heck else they gonna use?"

Benjamin in fantasy will benefit from the lack of any other WR options in Carolina, and that gives him high upside. He comes with his share of downside as well, as he hasn’t shown the speed you’d like out of a top-flight receiver. Benjamin is just about the most risk/reward receiver out there.

Cotchery, meanwhile, is close to the opposite. The 32-year-old is more likely to be the team’s new Steve Smith, the short-game receiver who bridges the gap between long target Benjamin and the tight ends. Cotchery hasn’t had a single catch of even 50 yards since 2009 -- he’s not going to be breaking off any long plays.

Carolina also signed Jason Avant from Philadelphia and Tiquan Underwood from Tampa Bay. Outside of a 108-yard, two-score game against Detroit from Underwood last year, neither guy has ever been anything special in the NFL, and it seems unlikely they’ll start to be special now.

I actually rank Cotchery above Benjamin, though not by much -- Cotchery is in my late 40s, while Benjamin is in my mid-50s. Neither is one I want to rely on, but I trust Cotchery more. Still, if you’re desperate for upside late in the draft, Benjamin certainly has more.

Tight End

I’m more than a thousand words into a piece on the Panthers and I haven’t mentioned Greg Olsen yet. That’s just sort of who he is. He’s had between five and eight touchdowns and between 400 and 900 yards for six straight seasons. He hasn’t missed a game due to injury in his career, and has barely even been listed on injury reports.

He's a good, not great tight end who gets a lot of his value by being reliable. That value is only accentuated by the status he's had over his whole career as the only reliable pass catcher. (Prior to coming to Carolina, he was with the Bears before they had Brandon Marshall.) At a position with huge injury risks like Julius Thomas, Rob Gronkowski and Jordan Reed, and inconsistent performances out of many of the other top-ranked tight ends, Olsen doesn't have the highest upside, or even close to it, but it's hard to envision a scenario in which he falls very far down the position.

The Panthers also added ex-Raven Ed Dickson on a one-year deal, and he's marginally a "name" guy, but there's not much there. Outside of a decent 2011 (528 yards, five scores), Dickson hasn't done much -- not even last year, when an injury to Dennis Pitta made him the team's No. 1. He'll be there for two-tight end sets, but he'll be used mainly for blocking.

I rank Olsen as my No. 7 tight end. He's in a group that includes Pitta, Jordan Cameron and Charles Clay, yet as I said, he's probably the most trustworthy of the group.

Miss out on any of the team pieces so far? Catch up here:
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