2015 Potato Bowl advanced stats tale of the tape: Utah State vs. Akron
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
December 22 ( 3:30 PM ET, ESPN ), Albertsons Stadium, Boise
Spread: Utah State -6.5
S&P+ Projection: Utah State 28.6, Akron 20.6
Team Sites: Hustle Belt (Akron), MWC Connection (USU)
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
The Basics
| Category | Akron | Utah State | ||
| S&P+ (Rk) | 79 | 47 | ||
| Category | Akron offense | Utah State defense | Utah State offense | Akron defense |
| Yards per play (Rk) | 5.09 (93) | 4.87 (34) | 5.31 (74) | 4.71 (24) |
| Yards per game (Rk) | 367.8 (93) | 342.8 (26) | 372.0 (89) | 332.8 (19) |
| Points per possession (Rk) | 1.80 (101) | 1.93 (54) | 2.25 (67) | 1.68 (33) |
| Category | Akron offense | Utah State defense | Utah State offense | Akron defense |
| S&P+ (Rk) | 22.8 (107) | 22.4 (31) | 29.2 (63) | 24.1 (40) |
| Rushing S&P+ (Rk) | 85.8 (113) | 117.6 (19) | 94.1 (101) | 122.5 (9) |
| Passing S&P+ (Rk) | 100.5 (70) | 111.2 (29) | 96.6 (78) | 107.6 (40) |
| Standard Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 100.6 (68) | 114.9 (18) | 98.0 (81) | 114.3 (22) |
| Passing Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 78.3 (117) | 103.4 (62) | 91.8 (92) | 109.9 (37) |
| Q1 S&P+ (Rk) | 91.0 (104) | 107.4 (40) | 96.2 (92) | 110.8 (34) |
| Q2 S&P+ (Rk) | 96.4 (85) | 106.0 (61) | 110.6 (42) | 110.7 (42) |
| Q3 S&P+ (Rk) | 96.9 (87) | 108.8 (40) | 101.5 (74) | 94.8 (89) |
| Q4 S&P+ (Rk) | 84.2 (118) | 129.7 (8) | 96.9 (92) | 108.3 (42) |
Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)
* or smallest disadvantages
Akron
- Rushing Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 4 defense vs. No. 105 offense)
- Rushing S&P+ (No. 9 defense vs. No. 101 offense)
- Run Stuffs (No. 25 defense vs. No. 116 offense)
- Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 16 defense vs. No. 92 offense)
- Overall S&P+ (No. 25 defense vs. No. 96 offense)
Utah State
- Rushing Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 18 defense vs. No. 115 offense)
- Rushing S&P+ (No. 19 defense vs. No. 113 offense)
- Q4 S&P+ (No. 15 vs. No. 95 )
- Rushing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 27 defense vs. No. 107 offense)
- Passing Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 44 defense vs. No. 119 offense)
Five Factors
| Category | Akron offense | Utah State defense | Utah State offense | Akron defense |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | 1.26 (68) | 1.22 (53) | 1.33 (29) | 1.13 (11) |
| EFFICIENCY | 38.9% (99) | 37.1% (27) | 38.3% (103) | 36.3% (20) |
| FIELD POSITION | 31.7 (35) | 29.6 (64) | 32.7 (19) | 28.3 (40) |
| FINISHING DRIVES | 4.2 (99) | 5.3 (118) | 4.9 (57) | 4.4 (46) |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED: Akron 9.50 (4) Utah State -2.56 (94) | ACTUAL Akron 8 (18) Utah State -1 (72) | ||
Offensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Akron offense | Utah State offense |
| Adj. Pace | -1.1 (69) | -4.0 (101) |
| Plays per game | 72.3 (72) | 70.0 (95) |
| Possessions per game | 13.3 (47) | 13.2 (60) |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 58.2% (72) | 59.5% (68) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 42.5% (19) | 37.7% (36) |
| % of solo tackles | 70.1% (100) | 65.2% (120) |
Defensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Akron defense | Utah State defense |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 46.8% (128) | 71.8% (2) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 34.6% (59) | 36.8% (37) |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 18.2% (31) | 15.9% (61) |
| Front 7 Havoc Rate | 11.2% (28) | 8.9% (84) |
| DB Havoc Rate | 7.0% (38) | 6.9% (43) |
| PD to INC | 35.2% (43) | 28.4% (101) |
When Akron has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Akron Offense | Utah State Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 100.6 | 68 | 114.9 | 18 | Utah State big |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 45.9 | 74 | 42.5 | 31 | Utah State |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.12 | 58 | 0.99 | 40 | Utah State |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.79 | 78 | 2.74 | 42 | Utah State |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.1% | 15 | 6.2% | 27 | Akron |
Passing Downs
| Akron Offense | Utah State Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 78.3 | 117 | 103.4 | 62 | Utah State big |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 24.8 | 110 | 26.4 | 28 | Utah State big |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.77 | 67 | 1.50 | 76 | |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.78 | 103 | 2.78 | 28 | Utah State big |
| PD Sack Rate | 6.2% | 47 | 11% | 17 | Utah State |
When Utah State has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Utah State Offense | Akron Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 98.0 | 81 | 114.3 | 22 | Akron big |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.6 | 96 | 40.9 | 17 | Akron big |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.13 | 54 | 1.04 | 18 | Akron |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.66 | 103 | 2.17 | 5 | Akron big |
| SD Sack Rate | 2.3% | 18 | 5.1% | 62 | Utah State |
Passing Downs
| Utah State Offense | Akron Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 91.8 | 92 | 109.9 | 37 | Akron big |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 27.4 | 91 | 27.6 | 36 | Akron big |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.90 | 30 | 1.80 | 8 | Akron |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.01 | 86 | 2.79 | 30 | Akron big |
| PD Sack Rate | 7% | 60 | 7.9% | 52 | |
Individual Passing Stats
| Team | Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate | Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Akron | Thomas Woodson | 6'1, 240 | SO | 148 | 278 | 2034 | 16 | 10 | 53.2% | 10 | 3.5% | 6.8 |
| Akron | Tra'Von Chapman | 6'1, 216 | SO | 10 | 35 | 157 | 1 | 1 | 28.6% | 3 | 7.9% | 3.1 |
| Akron | Kyle Pohl | 6'3, 210 | SR | 11 | 27 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 40.7% | 1 | 3.6% | 4.6 |
| Utah State | Kent Myers | 6'0, 195 | SO | 107 | 179 | 1470 | 14 | 3 | 59.8% | 10 | 5.3% | 7.4 |
| Utah State | Chuckie Keeton | 6'2, 210 | SR | 90 | 174 | 892 | 3 | 6 | 51.7% | 6 | 3.3% | 4.7 |
| Utah State | Damion Hobbs | 6'2, 220 | SO | 4 | 5 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 80.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 14.6 |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry | Hlt Yds/ Opp. | Opp. Rate |
| Akron | Conor Hundley | RB | 5'10, 206 | SR | 189 | 880 | 10 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 40.2% |
| Akron | Thomas Woodson | QB | 6'1, 240 | SO | 109 | 621 | 3 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 45.9% |
| Akron | Donnell Alexander | RB | 5'11, 219 | SR | 98 | 476 | 2 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 35.7% |
| Akron | Tra'Von Chapman | QB | 6'1, 216 | SO | 28 | 76 | 0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 32.1% |
| Utah State | Devante Mays | RB | 5'11, 220 | JR | 153 | 842 | 9 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 41.8% |
| Utah State | LaJuan Hunt | RB | 5'8, 195 | SO | 102 | 331 | 5 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 26.5% |
| Utah State | Kent Myers | QB | 6'0, 195 | SO | 67 | 417 | 3 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 40.3% |
| Utah State | Chuckie Keeton | QB | 6'2, 210 | SR | 41 | 223 | 1 | 5.4 | 6.4 | 41.5% |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Individual Receiving Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch | Yds/ Target | Catch Rate |
| Akron | Imani Davis | WR | 5'9, 180 | SR | 75 | 47 | 613 | 3 | 13.0 | 8.2 | 62.7% |
| Akron | Jerome Lane | LB | 6'3, 220 | SO | 69 | 35 | 750 | 8 | 21.4 | 10.9 | 50.7% |
| Akron | Andrew Pratt | WR | 6'5, 210 | SR | 46 | 19 | 186 | 1 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 41.3% |
| Akron | Tyrell Goodman | WR | 6'2, 215 | JR | 27 | 12 | 104 | 1 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 44.4% |
| Akron | Austin Wolf | WR | 6'3, 210 | SO | 19 | 10 | 212 | 2 | 21.2 | 11.2 | 52.6% |
| Akron | A.J. Coney | WR | 5'8, 180 | SO | 17 | 10 | 83 | 0 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 58.8% |
| Akron | Michael Means, Jr. | WR | 6'2, 200 | JR | 13 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 12.2 | 4.7 | 38.5% |
| Utah State | Hunter Sharp | WR | 6'0, 200 | SR | 95 | 60 | 746 | 8 | 12.4 | 7.9 | 63.2% |
| Utah State | Devonte Robinson | WR | 6'2, 190 | SR | 40 | 20 | 326 | 2 | 16.3 | 8.2 | 50.0% |
| Utah State | Wyatt Houston | TE | 6'5, 255 | JR | 40 | 21 | 266 | 3 | 12.7 | 6.7 | 52.5% |
| Utah State | Andrew Rodriguez | WR | 5'10, 185 | JR | 33 | 24 | 267 | 1 | 11.1 | 8.1 | 72.7% |
| Utah State | LaJuan Hunt | RB | 5'8, 195 | SO | 26 | 24 | 225 | 1 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 92.3% |
| Utah State | Braelon Roberts | WR | 6'3, 200 | SO | 21 | 14 | 124 | 0 | 8.9 | 5.9 | 66.7% |
| Utah State | Brandon Swindall | WR | 6'4, 205 | SR | 19 | 11 | 138 | 1 | 12.6 | 7.3 | 57.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Team | Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Akron | Jatavis Brown | LB | 5'11, 222 | SR | 82.5 | 13.6% | 17.5 | 10.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Akron | Dylan Evans | LB | 6'2, 220 | SR | 78.5 | 12.9% | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Akron | Darryl Monroe | LB | 6'1, 235 | SR | 59.5 | 9.8% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Akron | Kris Givens | CB | 5'9, 175 | SR | 43.0 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Akron | Zach Guiser | S | 6'1, 195 | SO | 41.5 | 6.8% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Akron | Bryce Cheek | CB | 6'0, 195 | SR | 40.5 | 6.7% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Akron | Jordan George | DB | 5'11, 193 | FR | 31.5 | 5.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Akron | Rodney Coe | DL | 6'3, 305 | SR | 29.5 | 4.9% | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Akron | Se'Von Pittman | DL | 6'3, 269 | JR | 25.5 | 4.2% | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Akron | DeAndre Scott | CB | 5'11, 185 | JR | 24.5 | 4.0% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Akron | Jamal Marcus | DL | 6'2, 240 | JR | 21.0 | 3.5% | 11.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Akron | Cody Grice | DL | 5'11, 275 | SR | 17.5 | 2.9% | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Akron | John Senter | CB | 5'7, 165 | SR | 15.0 | 2.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah State | Nick Vigil | LB | 6'2, 235 | JR | 102.5 | 16.2% | 12.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Utah State | Kyler Fackrell | LB | 6'5, 250 | SR | 54.5 | 8.6% | 13.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Utah State | Marwin Evans | SS | 6'0, 210 | SR | 49.0 | 7.8% | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Utah State | LT Filiaga | LB | 5'11, 245 | SR | 44.0 | 7.0% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Utah State | Jalen Davis | CB | 5'10, 175 | SO | 37.0 | 5.9% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Utah State | Jordan Nielsen | DE | 6'5, 275 | SR | 36.0 | 5.7% | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah State | Devin Centers | FS | 5'9, 200 | JR | 34.0 | 5.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah State | Torrey Green | LB | 6'2, 230 | SR | 33.0 | 5.2% | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah State | David Moala | NG | 6'2, 300 | SR | 31.5 | 5.0% | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Utah State | Deshane Hines | CB | 5'10, 185 | SR | 25.5 | 4.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Utah State | Tyler Floyd | CB | 5'9, 185 | SR | 25.0 | 4.0% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Utah State | Jontrell Rocquemore | FS | 6'1, 200 | FR | 21.5 | 3.4% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Utah State | Ricky Ali'ifua | DE | 6'2, 285 | JR | 16.5 | 2.6% | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | ||||||||||||
Individual Special Teams Stats
| Team | Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Akron | Zach Paul | 6'3, 221 | SR | 71 | 41.2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 53.5% |
| Utah State | Aaron Dalton | 6'4, 220 | FR | 66 | 41.0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 72.7% |
| Team | Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches | Onside Att | Onside Success |
| Akron | Robert Stein | 5'8, 171 | SR | 61 | 56.3 | 16 | 26.2% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah State | Jake Thompson | 6'0, 215 | JR | 64 | 63.7 | 37 | 57.8% | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah State | Brock Warren | 6'2, 180 | JR | 4 | 56.3 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Akron | Robert Stein | 5'8, 171 | SR | 34-36 | 12-19 | 63.2% |
| Utah State | Brock Warren | 6'2, 180 | JR | 36-39 | 8-11 | 72.7% |
| Utah State | Jake Thompson | 6'0, 215 | JR | 7-7 | 3-6 | 50.0% |
| Team | Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Akron | Van Edwards, Jr. | 5'9, 185 | FR | 19 | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Akron | Tyrell Goodman | 6'2, 215 | JR | 4 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Utah State | Kennedy Williams | 5'8, 160 | JR | 10 | 31.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Utah State | Hunter Sharp | 6'0, 200 | SR | 7 | 35.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Team | Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Akron | A.J. Coney | 5'8, 180 | SO | 17 | 4.3 | 0 | 22 | 0 (0) |
| Akron | Andrew Hauser | 6'1, 219 | JR | 1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Utah State | Andrew Rodriguez | 5'10, 185 | JR | 25 | 9.7 | 1 | 12 | 2 (2) |
| Utah State | Hunter Sharp | 6'0, 200 | SR | 8 | 6.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 (1) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics
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