2015 GoDaddy Bowl advanced stats tale of the tape: Bowling Green vs. Georgia Southern
December 23 ( 8:00 PM ET, ESPN ), Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile
Spread: Bowling Green -7.5
S&P+ Projection: Bowling Green 35.8, Georgia Southern 26.0
Team Sites: Underdog Dynasty (GS), Hustle Belt (BGSU)
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
The Basics
| Category | Georgia Southern | Bowling Green | ||
| S&P+ (Rk) | 53 | 13 | ||
| Category | Georgia Southern offense | Bowling Green defense | Bowling Green offense | Georgia Southern defense |
| Yards per play (Rk) | 6.02 (31) | 5.23 (56) | 6.62 (11) | 5.31 (65) |
| Yards per game (Rk) | 408.8 (57) | 422.3 (94) | 565.1 (3) | 339.3 (21) |
| Points per possession (Rk) | 2.85 (18) | 2.02 (61) | 3.26 (5) | 1.89 (51) |
| Category | Georgia Southern offense | Bowling Green defense | Bowling Green offense | Georgia Southern defense |
| S&P+ (Rk) | 31.2 (49) | 25.6 (52) | 41.5 (9) | 25.2 (47) |
| Rushing S&P+ (Rk) | 120.8 (11) | 99.1 (70) | 129.4 (2) | 114.5 (24) |
| Passing S&P+ (Rk) | 93.6 (87) | 101.3 (63) | 120.0 (24) | 104.0 (53) |
| Standard Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 115.6 (19) | 106.9 (40) | 114.3 (24) | 107.7 (38) |
| Passing Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 99.7 (69) | 87.3 (106) | 154.8 (2) | 117.3 (22) |
| Q1 S&P+ (Rk) | 96.3 (90) | 97.5 (71) | 127.2 (11) | 108.7 (38) |
| Q2 S&P+ (Rk) | 119.4 (24) | 109.4 (49) | 131.0 (7) | 118.7 (19) |
| Q3 S&P+ (Rk) | 98.9 (81) | 107.2 (50) | 129.4 (8) | 90.0 (103) |
| Q4 S&P+ (Rk) | 101.6 (76) | 91.5 (105) | 114.0 (25) | 93.0 (99) |
Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)
* or smallest disadvantages
Georgia Southern
- Field Position (No. 20 defense vs. No. 89 offense)
- Field Position (No. 1 offense vs. No. 60 defense)
- Rushing S&P+ (No. 11 offense vs. No. 70 defense)
- Short-Yardage Rushing (No. 4 defense vs. No. 59 offense)
- Rushing Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 6 offense vs. No. 59 defense)
Bowling Green
- Q3 S&P+ (No. 19 vs. No. 99)
- First Down S&P+ (No. 26 offense vs. No. 100 defense)
- Redzone S&P+ (No. 42 defense vs. No. 97 offense)
- Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 5 offense vs. No. 58 defense)
- Redzone S&P+ (No. 6 offense vs. No. 58 defense)
Five Factors
| Category | Georgia Southern offense | Bowling Green defense | Bowling Green offense | Georgia Southern defense |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | 1.46 (4) | 1.18 (29) | 1.26 (63) | 1.21 (46) |
| EFFICIENCY | 44.6% (32) | 41.8% (69) | 50.5% (4) | 39.2% (49) |
| FIELD POSITION | 35.5 (1) | 29.3 (60) | 29.1 (89) | 27.4 (20) |
| FINISHING DRIVES | 4.8 (61) | 4.4 (42) | 5.3 (18) | 4.9 (90) |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED: Georgia Southern 6.60 (19) Bowling Green -1.61 (86) | ACTUAL Georgia Southern 4 (40) Bowling Green 14 (5) | ||
Offensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Georgia Southern offense | Bowling Green offense |
| Adj. Pace | -0.1 (61) | 9.3 (8) |
| Plays per game | 67.9 (111) | 85.4 (7) |
| Possessions per game | 12.2 (116) | 13.3 (57) |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 88.6% (3) | 47.8% (120) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 68.2% (2) | 26.2% (105) |
| % of solo tackles | 75.7% (55) | 73.5% (77) |
Defensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Georgia Southern defense | Bowling Green defense |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 55.5% (111) | 55.7% (107) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 33.6% (69) | 36.6% (39) |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 15.3% (79) | 14.9% (86) |
| Front 7 Havoc Rate | 7.8% (101) | 9.1% (77) |
| DB Havoc Rate | 7.4% (26) | 5.8% (82) |
| PD to INC | 34.9% (44) | 29.8% (89) |
When Georgia Southern has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Georgia Southern Offense | Bowling Green Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 115.6 | 19 | 106.9 | 40 | Georgia Southern |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 50.9 | 25 | 44.5 | 50 | Georgia Southern |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.35 | 3 | 1.13 | 23 | Georgia Southern |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.25 | 19 | 2.87 | 62 | Georgia Southern |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.1% | 50 | 5.8% | 39 | Bowling Green |
Passing Downs
| Georgia Southern Offense | Bowling Green Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 99.7 | 69 | 87.3 | 106 | Georgia Southern |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 28.9 | 80 | 36.6 | 118 | Georgia Southern |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.93 | 28 | 1.56 | 25 | |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.21 | 68 | 3.76 | 116 | Georgia Southern |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.3% | 66 | 4.2% | 115 | Georgia Southern |
When Bowling Green has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Bowling Green Offense | Georgia Southern Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 114.3 | 24 | 107.7 | 38 | Bowling Green |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 53.8 | 11 | 44.5 | 50 | Bowling Green |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.02 | 97 | 1.01 | 79 | Georgia Southern |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.28 | 13 | 2.51 | 18 | |
| SD Sack Rate | 4.5% | 57 | 6.2% | 27 | Georgia Southern |
Passing Downs
| Bowling Green Offense | Georgia Southern Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 154.8 | 2 | 117.3 | 22 | Bowling Green |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 41.8 | 4 | 26.2 | 27 | Bowling Green |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 2.07 | 11 | 1.60 | 17 | |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 4.29 | 4 | 3.09 | 52 | Bowling Green |
| PD Sack Rate | 7.8% | 74 | 7.1% | 71 | |
Individual Passing Stats
| Team | Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate | Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Georgia Southern | Kevin Ellison | 6'0, 190 | JR | 37 | 84 | 532 | 3 | 5 | 44.0% | 6 | 6.7% | 5.5 |
| Georgia Southern | Favian Upshaw | 6'1, 170 | JR | 18 | 45 | 210 | 0 | 5 | 40.0% | 2 | 4.3% | 4.2 |
| Bowling Green | Matt Johnson | 6'0, 219 | SR | 368 | 535 | 4700 | 43 | 8 | 68.8% | 35 | 6.1% | 7.9 |
| Bowling Green | James Knapke | 6'2, 237 | JR | 14 | 20 | 173 | 1 | 0 | 70.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 8.7 |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry | Hlt Yds/ Opp. | Opp. Rate |
| Georgia Southern | Matt Breida | RB | 5'10, 190 | JR | 189 | 1547 | 16 | 8.2 | 10.9 | 42.9% |
| Georgia Southern | L.A. Ramsby | RB | 5'11, 210 | SO | 153 | 772 | 12 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 40.5% |
| Georgia Southern | Kevin Ellison | QB | 6'0, 190 | JR | 97 | 673 | 8 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 42.3% |
| Georgia Southern | Wesley Fields | RB | 5'10, 195 | FR | 92 | 607 | 6 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 38.0% |
| Bowling Green | Travis Greene | RB | 5'10, 189 | SR | 212 | 1219 | 14 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 43.4% |
| Bowling Green | Fred Coppet | RB | 5'9, 205 | JR | 136 | 797 | 5 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 43.4% |
| Bowling Green | Matt Johnson | QB | 6'0, 219 | SR | 70 | 369 | 4 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 48.6% |
| Bowling Green | Donovan Wilson | RB | 6'0, 229 | SO | 36 | 78 | 7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 13.9% |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Individual Receiving Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch | Yds/ Target | Catch Rate |
| Georgia Southern | BJ Johnson | WR | 6'1, 212 | JR | 31 | 14 | 232 | 0 | 16.6 | 7.5 | 45.2% |
| Georgia Southern | Derek Keaton | WR | 5'10, 180 | SR | 25 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 24.0% |
| Georgia Southern | Ryan Longoria | WR | 6'2, 195 | SR | 20 | 12 | 121 | 0 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 60.0% |
| Georgia Southern | Myles Campbell | WR | 5'5, 160 | SO | 15 | 8 | 130 | 0 | 16.3 | 8.7 | 53.3% |
| Georgia Southern | L.A. Ramsby | RB | 5'11, 210 | SO | 6 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 66.7% |
| Georgia Southern | Matt Breida | RB | 5'10, 190 | JR | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 60.0% |
| Georgia Southern | Wesley Fields | RB | 5'10, 195 | FR | 4 | 3 | 88 | 1 | 29.3 | 22.0 | 75.0% |
| Bowling Green | Gehrig Dieter | WR | 6'3, 207 | JR | 131 | 89 | 957 | 9 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 67.9% |
| Bowling Green | Roger Lewis | WR | 6'0, 199 | SO | 121 | 82 | 1476 | 15 | 18.0 | 12.2 | 67.8% |
| Bowling Green | Ronnie Moore | WR | 5'9, 170 | JR | 88 | 67 | 871 | 5 | 13.0 | 9.9 | 76.1% |
| Bowling Green | Ryan Burbrink | WR | 5'8, 183 | SR | 79 | 56 | 627 | 4 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 70.9% |
| Bowling Green | Travis Greene | RB | 5'10, 189 | SR | 33 | 28 | 264 | 2 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 84.8% |
| Bowling Green | Derek Lee | TE | 6'4, 258 | SR | 22 | 18 | 108 | 3 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 81.8% |
| Bowling Green | Teo Redding | WR | 6'1, 167 | SO | 20 | 12 | 198 | 3 | 16.5 | 9.9 | 60.0% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Team | Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Georgia Southern | Antwione Williams | LB | 6'3, 245 | SR | 72.5 | 12.7% | 10.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Deshawntee Gallon | LB | 5'9, 210 | JR | 59.0 | 10.3% | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Antonio Glover | S | 6'1, 200 | SR | 43.0 | 7.5% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Matt Dobson | S | 6'2, 206 | SR | 41.0 | 7.2% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Chris DeLaRosa | LB | 6'1, 230 | SO | 34.0 | 5.9% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Tay Hicklin | S | 5'11, 197 | SR | 32.5 | 5.7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Darrius White | CB | 5'11, 185 | JR | 29.5 | 5.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Jamal Johnson | DL | 6'2, 245 | JR | 29.0 | 5.1% | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Darius Jones | CB | 5'9, 180 | JR | 26.0 | 4.5% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Jay Ellison | DL | 6'1, 310 | JR | 21.0 | 3.7% | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Bernard Dawson | DE | 6'1, 248 | JR | 19.0 | 3.3% | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Logan Hunt | DE | 6'1, 247 | FR | 19.0 | 3.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Caleb Williams | CB | 5'9, 185 | SR | 16.0 | 2.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Bowling Green | Austin Valdez | LB | 6'0, 225 | SO | 94.0 | 11.8% | 10.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Trenton Greene | LB | 5'9, 213 | SR | 88.0 | 11.0% | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | James Sanford | LB | 6'1, 196 | JR | 68.0 | 8.5% | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Eilar Hardy | DB | 6'0, 188 | SR | 62.5 | 7.8% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Dernard Turner | DB | 6'0, 191 | SR | 50.5 | 6.3% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Clint Stephens | DB | 5'10, 182 | SO | 49.0 | 6.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Terrance Bush | DL | 6'2, 252 | JR | 44.0 | 5.5% | 7.5 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Alfonso Mack | DB | 5'11, 178 | JR | 43.5 | 5.5% | 3.5 | 0.0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Taylor Royster | DL | 5'10, 260 | SR | 38.5 | 4.8% | 10.5 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Nilijah Ballew | DB | 6'0, 210 | SO | 29.0 | 3.6% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Nate Locke | LB | 6'0, 226 | SO | 24.0 | 3.0% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Zach Colvin | DL | 6'3, 293 | SR | 23.5 | 2.9% | 9.5 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Ben Hale | DB | 6'2, 197 | SO | 21.5 | 2.7% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | ||||||||||||
Individual Special Teams Stats
| Team | Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Georgia Southern | Ryan Nowicki | 5'11, 190 | SR | 29 | 40.7 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 72.4% |
| Georgia Southern | Matt Flynn | 6'0, 200 | SO | 8 | 41.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25.0% |
| Bowling Green | Joseph Davidson | 6'7, 222 | SO | 49 | 45.6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 42.9% |
| Team | Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches | Onside Att | Onside Success |
| Georgia Southern | Younghoe Koo | 5'10, 190 | JR | 58 | 62.7 | 39 | 67.2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Southern | Alex Hanks | 5'9, 185 | SR | 22 | 60.2 | 8 | 36.4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Tyler Tate | 6'0, 181 | SR | 87 | 61.9 | 42 | 48.3% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Bowling Green | Nick Fields | 5'11, 215 | SO | 12 | 45.2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Georgia Southern | Alex Hanks | 5'9, 185 | SR | 31-32 | 8-10 | 80.0% |
| Georgia Southern | Younghoe Koo | 5'10, 190 | JR | 20-20 | 7-9 | 77.8% |
| Bowling Green | Tyler Tate | 6'0, 181 | SR | 72-77 | 8-15 | 53.3% |
| Team | Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Georgia Southern | Derek Keaton | 5'10, 180 | SR | 34 | 26.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Georgia Southern | Montay Crockett | 6'0, 180 | JR | 3 | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Bowling Green | Scott Miller | 5'10, 162 | FR | 24 | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Bowling Green | Robbie Rhodes | 6'0, 190 | SO | 7 | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Team | Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Georgia Southern | Derek Keaton | 5'10, 180 | SR | 17 | 15.3 | 0 | 7 | 1 (1) |
| Georgia Southern | Deshawntee Gallon | 5'9, 210 | JR | 2 | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Bowling Green | Ryan Burbrink | 5'8, 183 | SR | 11 | 4.6 | 0 | 20 | 0 (0) |
| Bowling Green | Ronnie Moore | 5'9, 170 | JR | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics
See More:
