It’s not just who you draft, it’s when you draft them. You’ve probably heard this or some variation 100 times, but it’s definitely true. Fantasy owners really need to be on their toes to guess when their competitors will take a certain player. There are a lot of things that can affect the general perception of a specific player. For instance, if every single “expert” is raving about the same guy as a great target in the middle round, you’re going to have to be very aggressive to pick him up.
Alfred Morris ADP: Why Yahoo! fantasy football ranks him lower than ESPN
Alfred Morris is a solid guy in some formats and is a low-end starter in others. Where should you draft him this season based on some ADP info.
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Additionally, the platform for your draft is going to affect the average draft position. Not all sites feel exactly the same, so there will be some discrepancy on the ADP. For instance, if Yahoo! ranks Player X at 25 and ESPN ranks him at 75, his ADP on Yahoo! will be much higher than on ESPN. If some sneaky commish wanted to, he could choose his platform based on the rankings alone. If ESPN has his favorite guys higher than Yahoo!, he would want to do it on Yahoo!.
One other thing worth addressing is that ESPN uses two receivers and one flex while Yahoo! uses three receivers and no flex. This has very little impact on the rankings, but it’s just something to think about.
In this edition, we'll take a look at Washington running back Alfred Morris.
ESPN rank: 28Yahoo! rank: 46Fantasy Football Calculator (FFC) ADP: 29
Before even addressing ADP, you have to think about format for Morris. If you’re in a PPR league, you’re not going to be looking to grab him until at least the fourth round -- maybe even fifth round depending on who slides. Although, he is believed to be better in the passing game heading into the season.
As for those of you in standard, there’s a sizable difference. Based on the FFC ADP, Alf will be going off the board much closer to the ESPN ranking. Morris has less competition than ever this year and he will get the goal-line work.
The bad news is that Washington doesn't have a strong offense, so Morris' ceiling isn't quite as high as the other guys going in his neighborhood -- Frank Gore for instance. Still, he could be a top-10 back and there's nothing wrong with grabbing him in the third round of a standard league. Owners in Y! leagues should get more value.
