Jets vs. Bills 2013, Week 11: Geno Smith benched late as Buffalo blasts New York

According to ESPN, Smith has registered a 10.6 QBR (quarterback rating) since Week 6 with one touchdown and eight interceptions, the lowest of anybody in that span. While Ryan maintains Smith will keep his job, Gang Green Nation relays a report that the coach will have Simms taking more first-team reps this week in practice.

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Matt Warren of Buffalo Rumblings believes the Bills coordinators deserve a lot of credit:

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The Jets were 2.5 point favorites, according to Oddsshark. They lost and failed to cover.

The Jets drop to 5-5 and their wild card hopes take a big hit after losing a divisional matchup.

Smith threw three interceptions and fumbled the ball once, posting a passer rating of 10.1. The turnovers were bad enough, but he showed an inability to throw against a flawed Buffalo secondary, completing 35 percent of his passes. However, it wasn’t entirely the rookie quarterback’s fault, with the Jets’ pass protection being woeful and allowing him to be sacked four times.

It remains to be seen whether the Jets make a switch on a more permanent basis. The team is pushing for a wild card spot, and Smith remains a major liability with 16 interceptions and eight touchdowns this season.

They brought out a big ol’ American flag for that national anthem before Jets-Bills in Buffalo. It’s super windy up there today, and some combination of gusts and flag handler miscommunication rent the stars and stripes in two:

Well, that or this was a subtle pro-secession message. Either way: not a good look.

First-year head coach Doug Marrone has struggled on offense this season as the Bills rank 24th in points scored and 29th in passing yards. This will be compounded on Sunday without the two receivers. Buffalo has thrown for 1,922 yards this season, while Johnson and Woods represent almost half of the team’s total yards though the air.

The Bills are looking to get past the 2013 season in hopes of rebuilding their offense next year. Sunday’s game will be determined by how well Buffalo can run the ball against a stout Jets defensive line.

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The Bills, meanwhile, are in the division’s cellar at 3-7 and are coming off three consecutive losses, including last week’s 23-10 defeat to Pittsburgh.

The Jets are limiting opponents to a league-best 73.8 yards per game and have dominated the line of scrimmage so far in 2013. While the defensive front gave up 120 rushing yards during a 27-20 win over the Bills in Week 3, 40 of those were to a quarterback. They dominated Spiller, who rushed 10 times for an average of 0.9 yards per carry.

Game Date/Time and Location: Sunday, Nov. 17, 1 p.m. ET at Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo, N.Y.

TV schedule and distribution map: CBS; The506.com

The Jets do need help in the secondary. While the run defense is arguably the NFL’s best, the pass defense ranks 22nd in the league giving up 251 yards per game. Reed is known as one of the NFL’s all-time great ball hawks, and the Jets are no doubt hoping he can spark a defense that has forced a league-low seven turnovers this season.

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What sort of trends are going to be most important when betting this matchup, now an even line by most sports books?

The Jets are coming off of a bye week and are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games following a bye. Conversely, the Bills are 1-5-1 over their last seven games headed into a bye week and Buffalo doesn’t play in Week 12. Not only that, but New York is 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread in their last eight meetings with Buffalo.

For more betting details on this game, head over to OddsShark.

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